A conference of the nber’s Employment Measurement Research Initiative, organised by Katharine Abraham and Matthew Shapiro, on whether the United States can still count its own workers. Response rates to the household and establishment surveys keep falling, the business birth-death model keeps being blamed for revisions, and a growing share of work does not look like employment at all. Thirteen papers over two days on payroll processors, state wage records, tax administrative data, online job postings and the cps itself — twenty minutes each, one discussant per session, and an unusually blunt floor.
Day 1 · Thu 17 September
- Recent Developments in Current Employment Statistics employment measurement · official statistics · survey nonresponse · United States
- Building Labor Market Statistics with Administrative Labor Market Data employment measurement · administrative data · payroll data · nowcasting
- Improving Official Employment Statistics: New Insights from Private-sector Data employment measurement · payroll data · firm dynamics · small business
- Expanding the Frontier of Economic Measurement: Weekly Regional Employment Statistics employment measurement · regional economics · payroll data · high-frequency data
- Using Administrative Payroll Data to Improve Official Labour Market Statistics in the UK employment measurement · administrative data · United Kingdom · official statistics
- Do Online Job Postings Capture Job Vacancies? job vacancies · online job postings · labour market concentration · JOLTS
- Artificial Intelligence and Labor Market Reallocation artificial intelligence · unemployment · labour reallocation · natural rate
Day 2 · Fri 18 September
- Standardization and Expansion of Employment and Wage Records wage records · unemployment insurance · official statistics · data infrastructure
- Overview of the U.S. Census Bureau's Frames Program Census Bureau · data infrastructure · record linkage · official statistics
- New U.S. Business Establishments: Surging or Stalling? firm dynamics · business entry · administrative data · firm-dynamics models
- The Nonemployee Workforce nonemployee work · tax data · gig economy · employment measurement
- The Impact of Third-Party Reporting on Tax Compliance: Evidence from Gig Workers tax compliance · gig economy · third-party reporting · public finance
- Harmonized Population and Labor Force Statistics CPS · population controls · labour force statistics · time series
- Bias in the Level, Trend, and Cyclicality of U.S. Unemployment unemployment · survey measurement error · tax data · CPS