Notes on:
Autor, D. H., Dorn, D., & Hanson, G. H. (2013): The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States

1 What?

This paper relates changes in labor-market outcomes from 1990 to 2007 across us to changes in exposure to Chinese import competition.

It’s the first (?) in a series of groundbreaking works by David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson, where they examine the effect of cheap labour from China to the us’ labor market, and consequently, the effect of globalization (see Acemoglu and Autor 2011 for a review). It’s worth perusing the article to get the prerequisites need to understand the current directions of us-China discussion.

2 Why?

  • In the 2000s, China’s current account surplus was averaged 5% of (whose?) gdp
  • Some statistics provided:
199120012007
% of us import from low income country15%28%
(89% of which is Chinese)
% of us spending on Chinese goods0.6%4.6%
us working age population12.6%8.4%

3 How?

3.1 Theoretical prerequisites

3.2 Data

  • Local labor markets are defined for each each commuting zones (czs), which enompass all metropolitan and nonmetropolittan areas in the us (See Tolbert and Sizer 1996 for the original deliniation).

4 And?

  • An important break point is 2001 when China joined the wto

4.1 Model implications

  • With balanced trade, productivity growth in China merely rellocates cz employment between traded sectors
  • With imbalanced trade
  • Benefit spreads, costs are concentrated

5 References

Acemoglu, Daron, and David Autor. 2011. “Chapter 12 - Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings**We Thank Amir Kermani for Outstanding Research Assistance and Melanie Wasserman for Persistent, Meticulous and Ingenious Work on All Aspects of the Chapter. We Are Indebted to Arnaud Costinot for Insightful Comments and Suggestions. Autor Acknowledges Support from the National Science Foundation (CAREER Award SES-0239538).” In Handbook of Labor Economics, edited by David Card and Orley Ashenfelter, 4:1043–1171. Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-7218(11)02410-5.
Tolbert, Charles M., and Molly Sizer. 1996. “U.S. Commuting Zones and Labor Market Areas: A 1990 Update.” AgEcon Search. 1996. https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.278812.

This post is in the collection of my public reading notes.