Exam 1 on:

Credit expansion and credit misallocation

Alexander Bleck & Xuewen Liu
Journal of Monetary Economics
Graded 24 September 2026 · 8 / 10 · 3 of 25 parts
Reading note · PDF
Made with AI: Fable 5.1 (adjudication), GPT 6-Astra (verification), Opus 5.5 (setting the exam and grading), GPT 6-Sol (setting the exam and grading)

Scorecard

QuestionParts gradedScore
1. Where the paper sits: collateral, credit traps and misallocation3 of 38 / 10
2. Collateral priced by cash in the market0 of 5—
3. When more credit raises the interest rate0 of 4—
4. The crowding-out spiral0 of 4—
5. Misallocation and the optimal size of the injection0 of 5—
6. Carrying the numerical example0 of 4—
Total3 of 258 / 10

Scores are out of the points attempted so far; the exam carries 97 in all. Parts not yet answered are marked as such, not as wrong.

He has the institutional reading of the model right: 1b reproduces the whole Hart-Moore chain — unverifiable CC, liquidation threat, full borrower bargaining power, B∗=P/(1+r)B^*=P/(1+r) with the cutoff the right way round — and 1c does the algebra of (4) cleanly, including the cancellation of BB. The weak spot is the step from a correct derivation to what it implies: in 1c he turns the BB-independence of (4) into a claim that B∗B^* screens on project feasibility, when the point is the opposite (CC and II are identical across entrepreneurs, so B∗B^* rations on collateral alone), and he calls II idiosyncratic when it is the aggregate shock. In 1a he names heterogeneous asset specificity but not the shared credit market with a single rr that converts Sector 2’s boom into Sector 1’s loss, and he assigns Benmelech-Bergman a cost on banks where the paper says harmless. Two things to revisit: what is heterogeneous across entrepreneurs versus across sectors (1a, 1c), and footnote 7’s reason for rejecting T2T_2 debt — capacity, P>XP>X, not timing (1b).

Margin notes on your answers: ✗ an error, ✓ done well, + extra context.

1. Where the paper sits: collateral, credit traps and misallocation

The paper builds on Kiyotaki–Moore (1997) collateral constraints, contrasts itself with the credit traps of Benmelech and Bergman (2012), and judges outcomes by the Hsieh–Klenow (2009) / Restuccia–Rogerson (2008) notion of misallocation. Dates T0,T1,T2T_0,T_1,T_2, no discounting. Each entrepreneur owns a project that pays a non-pledgeable CC at T1T_1 only if an extra I<CI<C is invested at T0T_0, and x~∈{u,d}\tilde x\in\{u,d\} at T2T_2, of which an outsider who seizes the asset recovers only X≤dX\le d (asset specificity). An entrepreneur with internal capital AA needs B=I−AB=I-A from a bank at net rate rr, repaid at T1T_1; the asset can be sold in a T1T_1 secondary market at price PP. Two sectors i=1,2i=1,2 share one bank credit market; in Section 4.2, Sector 1 has C1>C2C_1>C_2 and X1<X2X_1<X_2.

a) Credit traps versus crowding out

a) · 3 points
In Benmelech and Bergman, additional liquidity injections can fail to raise collateral values. In two or three sentences, state what that paper implies about the cost of excessive injections, and what Bleck and Liu add that overturns it. Name the one modelling ingredient responsible.
Hint
Look at how the introduction describes injections in Benmelech–Bergman: ‘ineffective but ___’.

Your answer · 2 / 3 (partial) · submission 1, 2026-09-24

Benmelech-Bergman describe excessive liquidity as mostly harmless to the (production) economy, as it doesn’t raise collateral values and thus form credit traps. The cost of liquidity, in this case, would be on the banks that finance such liquidity-trapped firms. ✗ Not in Benmelech and Bergman (2012): in a credit trap the injection simply fails to expand credit, so no one bears a cost — the paper’s words are “ineffective but harmless to the economy” (p. 28). Inventing a cost on banks blurs the very contrast the question asks for.

Instead Bleck-Liu implement a 2-sector model, so there is a crowding-out effect of credit acquirement, and it’s the high-friction sector that bear the brunt. More specifically, he microfounded the mechanism by introducing the borrowing loan XX ✗ XX is not a loan: it is the pledgeable part of the T2T_2 cash flow x~\tilde x — what an outside investor can recover by seizing and operating the asset, i.e. the measure of asset specificity (Section 2.1). Buyers can borrow XX per asset at T1T_1, but that is a consequence of the pledgeability, not its definition. which measures asset specificity and a threshold X‾\underline{X} that separates these two sectors ✗ Heterogeneous XX is only half the ingredient. Without the integrated bank credit market and the single rate r=Pi/Bi∗−1r=P_i/B^*_i-1 for both sectors (eq. (5a), Section 4.1), Sector 2’s price boom could not raise Sector 1’s cost of credit and the crowding-out would vanish. . The case where X≤X‾X \le \underline{X} and price P(Q)=ddEL(x~)P(Q) = dd\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde{x}) resembles the credit traps ✓ Right, and worth keeping: Proposition 3’s X≤X‾X\le\underline{X} region, where P(Q)=EL(x~)P(Q)=\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x) for every QQ, is Benmelech and Bergman (2012)’s credit trap nested inside this model — which is why Sector 1 is the one that gets drained. (Q∈[0,Q‾]Q \in [0, \overline{Q}]).

Model answer

In Benmelech–Bergman a credit trap makes extra injections ineffective but harmless: if collateral values do not respond, the injection does not expand credit, and nothing is lost. Bleck–Liu show that excessive injections can be harmful (and ‘beyond inflation’, since everything is in real terms): they misallocate credit across sectors and so hurt the aggregate economy. The ingredient is a second sector with lower asset specificity (higher XX) that shares the same credit market, so that its cost of credit moves one-for-one with Sector 1’s (a single rate in the baseline). Its collateral price responds strongly to liquidity, pushes up the common rr, and drains credit out of the sector whose collateral value is stuck. With one sector, or with segmented credit markets whose rates do not co-move, the harm disappears. Exact equality of the two rates is not what matters: Section 5.3 shows that a constant spread r1−r2=Δrr_1-r_2=\Delta r leaves the results qualitatively unchanged.

In the paper: Section 1, p. 28; Footnote 2, p. 28; Section 5.3, p. 37.

b) Why debt capacity equals P

b) · 4 points
Using the Hart–Moore (1994) logic the paper invokes, explain why the most an entrepreneur can credibly promise to repay at T1T_1 is the secondary-market price PP, and derive from it the marginal borrower B∗B^* of eq. (1). Say in one sentence why the bank does not instead lend against XX.
Hint
What is the bank’s outside option in a renegotiation at T1T_1, and who has the bargaining power?

Your answer · 3.5 / 4 (partial) · submission 1, 2026-09-24

The project’s cash flow CC is unverifiable at lending time T0T_0 and thus uncontractible. The only thing that enables a contract is a collateral asset (the project itself). If the entrepreneur does not repay, the bank exercise its outside option, which is to liquidate the project to sell in the secondary market at T1T_1. The entrepreneur has full bargaining power ✓ Clean statement of the Hart and Moore (1994) step the paper invokes: the borrower concedes exactly the bank’s outside option, so the pledge is capped at the resale value, not at EH(x~)\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x) or the borrower’s own valuation. , so he would not pay more than PP at T1T_1. If banks rationally anticipate the collateral value of PP at T1T_1, they would grant a loan to an entrepreneur with maximum amount P/(1+r):=B∗P/(1+r) := B^* + Writing the constraint first, B(1+r)≤PB(1+r)\le P, makes the discounting explicit and is the form the paper inverts into eq. (1); it is also the form you reuse in Proposition 4’s 1+r=P(Q)/B∗(Q)1+r=P(Q)/B^*(Q). . B∗B^* is a threshold at which entrepreneur whose borrowing needs B<B∗B < B^* proceed to undertake liquidity investment.

The bank does not lend against XX because XX materialized only at T2T_2 which is too late for a bank to commit to ✗ The obstacle is size, not commitment. Footnote 7 (p. 29) says long-term debt maturing at T2T_2 is available but dominated because P>XP>X — it raises strictly less external finance, since P≥EL(x~)=d+θL(u−d)≥d≥XP\ge\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x)=d+\theta_L(u-d)\ge d\ge X; it becomes infeasible for all entrepreneurs only if the support of BB were [X,I][X,I]. , instead of lending against PP where it can collateralize at T1T_1.

Model answer

CC is unverifiable, so it cannot be contracted on. The only enforcement device is the threat to seize the project at T1T_1 and sell it in the secondary market, which yields PP. In renegotiation the entrepreneur has full bargaining power, so he offers the bank exactly its outside option and never repays more than PP. A loan BB at rate rr requires B(1+r)≤PB(1+r)\le P, so banks lend at most P/(1+r)P/(1+r) and the marginal financed entrepreneur is

B∗=P1+r.B^*=\frac{P}{1+r}.

Entrepreneurs with B≤B∗B\le B^* can be financed; those with B>B∗B>B^* cannot, whatever their project’s npv.

The bank does not lend against XX because XX is only what an outsider recovers at T2T_2; since P≥EL(x~)=d+θL(u−d)≥d≥XP\ge\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x)=d+\theta_L(u-d)\ge d\ge X (eq. (3)), short-term debt secured by the T1T_1 resale value raises weakly more than long-term debt due at T2T_2 (footnote 7). If the support of BB were [X,I][X,I], long-term debt alone would be infeasible for everyone.

In the paper: Section 2.3, p. 29; Footnote 7, p. 29; eq. (1), p. 31; eq. (3), p. 31.

c) Participation cancels internal wealth

c) · 3 points
Compare an entrepreneur’s T1T_1 payoff from borrowing B=I−AB=I-A and investing with the payoff from depositing AA in a bank. Derive the participation condition (4) and say whether it depends on BB; what does that imply about what B∗B^* sorts on?

Your answer · 2.5 / 3 (partial) · submission 1, 2026-09-24

  • Payoff if the entrepreneur borrow: C−B(1+r)C - B(1+r)
  • Payoff if he deposit the capital in banks: A(1+r)A(1+r)

The entrepreneur only invest if C−B(1+r)≥A(1+r)⇒C≥I(1+r)C - B(1+r) \ge A(1+r) \Rightarrow C \ge I(1+r). This doesn’t depends on BB ✓ Correct, and the reason is worth naming: the deposit interest forgone on own funds, A(1+r)A(1+r), exactly offsets the interest saved on the smaller loan, so the wealth distribution drops out of participation entirely. .

Thus, B∗B^* only sorts on entrepreneur with feasible projects ✗ Backwards. In the baseline every entrepreneur has the same CC and the same II, so (4) either holds for all of them or for none and sorts nobody; B∗B^* is a pure financing cutoff, and those with B>B∗B>B^* are rationed by collateral value despite an identical, positive npv. (their cash flow is enough to offset their idiosyncratic shock II ✗ II is the aggregate liquidity shock — the same amount for every entrepreneur (Section 2.2). What is idiosyncratic is internal capital AA, hence B=I−AB=I-A with density f(B)f(B) on [0,I][0,I]. )

Model answer

Investing yields C−B(1+r)C-B(1+r) at T1T_1; depositing yields A(1+r)=(I−B)(1+r)A(1+r)=(I-B)(1+r). The difference is

C−B(1+r)−(I−B)(1+r)=C−I(1+r),C-B(1+r)-(I-B)(1+r)=C-I(1+r),

so the entrepreneur invests iff C−I(1+r)≥0C-I(1+r)\ge0, i.e. the project’s npv at the market rate is non-negative. The condition is independent of BB: the forgone deposit income on own funds exactly offsets the interest saved on a smaller loan. Hence every entrepreneur wants to invest when (4) holds, and B∗B^* is a pure financing cutoff, not a profitability ranking: those with B>B∗B>B^* are rationed by collateral, not by return. Footnote 9 adds that (4) also guarantees every borrower can repay at T1T_1, so there is no default.

In the paper: eq. (4), p. 31; Footnote 9, p. 31; Proposition 1, p. 31.

2. Collateral priced by cash in the market

Notation (one sector). A unit mass of entrepreneurs; entrepreneur BB needs external funds B=I−AB=I-A, with B∼fB\sim f on [0,I][0,I] and cdf FF. Banks lend at net rate rr (repaid at T1T_1) against the T1T_1 resale price PP; the government injects loanable funds Q∈[0,Q‾]Q\in[0,\overline{Q}]. At T1T_1 a fraction π\pi of entrepreneurs (drawn independently of BB) turn optimistic and value the asset at EH(x~)=uθH+d(1−θH)\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x)=u\theta_H+d(1-\theta_H); the rest value it at EL(x~)=uθL+d(1−θL)<EH(x~)\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x)=u\theta_L+d(1-\theta_L)<\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x). No short sales; only insiders can operate the asset, so only optimists buy; a buyer can borrow XX against each asset he holds. Write K≡∫0I(I−B)f(B) dBK\equiv\int_0^I (I-B)f(B)\,dB.

The one-sector equilibrium {B∗,P,r}\{B^*,P,r\} solves

B∗=P1+r(1),∫B∗I(I−B)f(B) dB+Q=∫0B∗Bf(B) dB(2),B^*=\frac{P}{1+r}\quad(1),\qquad \int_{B^*}^I (I-B)f(B)\,dB+Q=\int_0^{B^*}Bf(B)\,dB\quad(2),

P={EH(x~)Γ>EH(x~)Γ(B∗,r)Γ∈[EL(x~),EH(x~)]EL(x~)Γ<EL(x~)(3),P=\begin{cases}\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x) & \Gamma>\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x)\\ \Gamma(B^*,r) & \Gamma\in[\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x),\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x)]\\ \mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x) & \Gamma<\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x)\end{cases}\quad(3),

Γ(B∗,r)=π{∫0B∗[C−B(1+r)]f(B) dB+∫B∗I(1+r)(I−B)f(B) dB}+X1−π=π [C F(B∗)−Q(1+r)]+X1−π,\Gamma(B^*,r)=\frac{\pi\left\{\int_0^{B^*}[C-B(1+r)]f(B)\,dB+\int_{B^*}^I(1+r)(I-B)f(B)\,dB\right\}+X}{1-\pi}=\frac{\pi\,[C\,F(B^*)-Q(1+r)]+X}{1-\pi},

where the second form uses (2), together with the participation condition C−I(1+r)≥0C-I(1+r)\ge 0 (4).

a) Bank clearing pins the cutoff

a) · 3 points
Rewrite the credit-market clearing condition (2) as a single equation in B∗B^* and derive dB∗/dQdB^*/dQ. Sign it, and say in one sentence why B∗B^* is pinned down by QQ alone, without reference to PP or rr.
Hint
Add ∫0B∗(I−B)f dB\int_0^{B^*}(I-B)f\,dB to both sides.

Not yet answered.

b) Reading the price formula

b) · 4 points
Explain the economics of Γ\Gamma: (i) why the buyers’ own cash enters multiplied by π\pi; (ii) why the borrowing term is XX and not πX\pi X; (iii) why the denominator is 1−π1-\pi; and (iv) why the price is truncated at EL(x~)\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x) and EH(x~)\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x) rather than always equal to Γ\Gamma.
Hint
After trade, who holds all the assets, and how much can be borrowed against each one?

Not yet answered.

c) The price-trap cutoff

c) · 5 points
Eliminate rr from Γ\Gamma in the interior region to write Γ\Gamma as a function of QQ alone. Then derive an expression for the cutoff X‾\underline{X} of Proposition 3, below which P=EL(x~)P=\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x) for every Q∈[0,Q‾]Q\in[0,\overline{Q}], and say why the cutoff is evaluated at Q=Q‾Q=\overline{Q}.
Hint 1
Use 1+r=Γ/B∗1+r=\Gamma/B^* from (1) when P=ΓP=\Gamma.
Hint 2
Which QQ gives the highest Γ\Gamma?

Not yet answered.

d) Lemma 2 by fixed point

d) · 6 points
Prove Lemma 2. In the interior region (P=ΓP=\Gamma), derive dΓ/dQd\Gamma/dQ and show that C−I(1+r)>0C-I(1+r)>0 is sufficient for dΓ/dQ>0d\Gamma/dQ>0. Work from the total derivative dΓdB∗=∂Γ∂B∗+drdB∗∂Γ∂r\frac{d\Gamma}{dB^*}=\frac{\partial\Gamma}{\partial B^*}+\frac{dr}{dB^*}\frac{\partial\Gamma}{\partial r} with r=Γ/B∗−1r=\Gamma/B^*-1.
Hint 1
Compute ∂Γ/∂B∗\partial\Gamma/\partial B^* from the integral form and ∂Γ/∂r\partial\Gamma/\partial r from the integral form too, then use (2) to simplify the latter.
Hint 2
dΓ/dB∗d\Gamma/dB^* appears on both sides; solve for it.

Not yet answered.

e) What moves collateral value

e) · 3 points
Interpret the two terms in the numerator of (A5), [C−I(1+r)]f(B∗)[C-I(1+r)]f(B^*) and (1+r)Q/B∗(1+r)Q/B^*: what economic channel does each capture when one more unit of liquidity enters the sector?
Hint
Think about one more entrepreneur switching from depositing to investing, and then about what a fall in rr (at a given price) does to what the private sector owes the banks.

Not yet answered.

3. When more credit raises the interest rate

One-sector economy as in Question 2. The equilibrium rate satisfies 1+r=P(Q)/B∗(Q)1+r=P(Q)/B^*(Q), where B∗(Q)B^*(Q) solves I F(B∗)=K+QI\,F(B^*)=K+Q and P(Q)P(Q) is the truncated cash-in-the-market price of (3). In the interior region P=ΓP=\Gamma and, from the proof of Lemma 2,

dΓdB∗=[C−I(1+r)]f(B∗)+(1+r)QB∗1−ππ+QB∗.(A5)\frac{d\Gamma}{dB^*}=\frac{[C-I(1+r)]f(B^*)+(1+r)\frac{Q}{B^*}}{\frac{1-\pi}{\pi}+\frac{Q}{B^*}}.\qquad\text{(A5)}

Proposition 4: for X≤X‾X\le\underline{X}, r(Q)r(Q) is strictly decreasing; for X>X‾X>\underline{X}, under some ff and parameters, r(Q)r(Q) is ∪\cup-shaped with a minimum rmin⁡r_{\min} at an interior QQ. Assume C>I(1+r)C>I(1+r) wherever a strict sign is needed.

a) Rate with a trapped price

a) · 3 points
Suppose X≤X‾X\le\underline{X} so that P≡EL(x~)P\equiv\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x) on [0,Q‾][0,\overline Q]. Derive dr/dQdr/dQ and sign it. Why does the sign need no restriction on the density beyond f(B∗)>0f(B^*)>0?

Not yet answered.

b) Condition for a rising rate

b) · 6 points

In the interior region, derive dr/dB∗dr/dB^* from (A5) and show that

drdQ>0  ⟺  f(B∗)[C1+r−I]>1−ππ(given C>I(1+r), Q≥0).\frac{dr}{dQ}>0\iff f(B^*)\left[\frac{C}{1+r}-I\right]>\frac{1-\pi}{\pi}\qquad(\text{given }C>I(1+r),\ Q\ge0).
Hint 1
Start from r=Γ/B∗−1r=\Gamma/B^*-1 and put everything over the denominator of (A5).
Hint 2
Use Γ=(1+r)B∗\Gamma=(1+r)B^* at the end.

Not yet answered.

c) Why a thick density matters

c) · 4 points
Explain in words why rr can rise with QQ only when f(B∗)f(B^*) is high. Use the decomposition dln⁡(1+r)=dln⁡P−dln⁡B∗d\ln(1+r)=d\ln P-d\ln B^* and say how many new projects a unit of QQ funds, independent of ff.
Hint
Differentiate (2): what is dF(B∗)/dQdF(B^*)/dQ?

Not yet answered.

d) The two roles of pi

d) · 3 points
(i) Take the limit π→0\pi\to0 (other parameters fixed, X≤dX\le d, θL>0\theta_L>0): what happens to the equilibrium price and to the shape of r(Q)r(Q)? (ii) Using the condition in 3b, how does a higher π\pi affect the possibility of a rising branch? Then explain why the paper nonetheless keeps requiring ‘π\pi sufficiently small’.
Hint
Look at Γ(Q)=πCF+X(1−π)+πQ/B∗\Gamma(Q)=\frac{\pi CF+X}{(1-\pi)+\pi Q/B^*} as π→0\pi\to0, and recall the truncation in (3).

Not yet answered.

4. The crowding-out spiral

Two sectors share one integrated, competitive bank credit market at T0T_0: loans never default (by (4)), so there is a single risk-free rate rr for both sectors, and a non-investing entrepreneur in one sector can end up funding an investor in the other. The T1T_1 asset markets are segmented (only a sector’s own insiders can buy its assets), so P1≠P2P_1\ne P_2 in general. Let QiQ_i be the net inflow of outside liquidity into sector ii (possibly negative); the government sets QQ but not the split. Solving each sector’s one-sector equilibrium given QiQ_i yields a curve ri(Qi)r_i(Q_i); the two-sector equilibrium (5a)–(5e) requires

r1(Q1)=r2(Q2)=r,Q1+Q2=Q.r_1(Q_1)=r_2(Q_2)=r,\qquad Q_1+Q_2=Q.

In the main configuration Sector 1 has X1≤X‾X_1\le\underline{X}, so r1r_1 is strictly decreasing, and Sector 2 has X2>X‾X_2>\underline{X} with r2r_2 ∪\cup-shaped, minimum rmin⁡r_{\min} at Q2min⁡Q_2^{\min}. Near a given equilibrium write a≡−r1′(Q1)a\equiv -r_1'(Q_1) and b≡r2′(Q2)b\equiv r_2'(Q_2); in the main configuration a>0a>0 and bb can take either sign.

a) Why Q1 peaks at rmin

a) · 3 points
Explain why the injection Q∗Q^* that maximises Q1Q_1 (Proposition 6) is the one that minimises the equilibrium interest rate, and write Q∗Q^* in terms of rmin⁡r_{\min} and the two inverse functions.
Hint
Sector 1’s inflow is a decreasing function of the common rate alone.

Not yet answered.

b) Local comparative statics

b) · 5 points
Differentiate the two equilibrium restrictions to obtain dQ1/dQdQ_1/dQ, dQ2/dQdQ_2/dQ and dr/dQdr/dQ in terms of aa and bb, on a branch where b<ab<a. Use them to characterise the allocation effect (b<0b<0) and the crowding-out effect (0<b<a0<b<a) of Proposition 7.
Hint
Totally differentiate each of the two restrictions in turn; remember r1′=−ar_1'=-a and that the split dQ1,dQ2dQ_1,dQ_2 must add up to dQdQ.

Not yet answered.

c) The spiral as geometric series

c) · 4 points
The paper describes the move to a new equilibrium after an extra ΔQ\Delta Q beyond Q∗Q^* as a spiral: the new liquidity enters Sector 2, raises the rate, squeezes liquidity out of Sector 1, which flows to Sector 2, and so on. Formalise this spiral to first order as a sequence of rounds, sum it, and show that it reproduces the 4b multiplier ΔQ2/ΔQ=a/(a−b)\Delta Q_2/\Delta Q=a/(a-b). State the condition for the spiral to converge.
Hint
Round 0: ΔQ\Delta Q lifts r2r_2 by bΔQb\Delta Q. How much must leave Sector 1 for r1r_1 to match?

Not yet answered.

d) Crowding out with falling rates

d) · 4 points
The online appendix (Section 4.1, Fig. B1) constructs a configuration with r1′>0r_1'>0, r2′<0r_2'<0 and r1′+r2′>0r_1'+r_2'>0. Using the 4b formulas in raw slopes, sign dQ1/dQdQ_1/dQ, dQ2/dQdQ_2/dQ and dr/dQdr/dQ there, say how the appendix engineers the two slopes, and state what this establishes about the interest-rate signature of crowding out.
Hint
Which price bound makes a sector’s rate fall for sure? Which condition on ff makes it rise?

Not yet answered.

5. Misallocation and the optimal size of the injection

Section 4.2: the sectors now differ in both cash flow and asset specificity, C1>C2>IC_1>C_2>I and X1<X2X_1<X_2 (X1≤X‾<X2X_1\le\underline X<X_2), with the same II, ff, x~\tilde x and π\pi. The equilibrium is (6a)–(6e): as in Question 4, with Pi=p(x~,Bi∗,Ci,Xi,r)P_i=p(\tilde x,B_i^*,C_i,X_i,r) and Ci≥I(1+r)C_i\ge I(1+r). Let K≡∫0I(I−B)f(B) dBK\equiv\int_0^I(I-B)f(B)\,dB, so credit clearing in each sector is I F(Bi∗)=K+QiI\,F(B_i^*)=K+Q_i, and write Fi≡F(Bi∗)F_i\equiv F(B_i^*). Program 1 maximises Q1Q_1 (equivalently B1∗B_1^*) over QQ; its solution is Q∗Q^*. Program 2 maximises the aggregate surplus of liquidity investments

W=(C1−I)F1+(C2−I)F2.W=(C_1-I)F_1+(C_2-I)F_2.

The aggregate return on capital is Rˉ=C1F1+C2F2I F1+I F2\bar R=\dfrac{C_1F_1+C_2F_2}{I\,F_1+I\,F_2} and Ri≡Ci/IR_i\equiv C_i/I.

a) Higher returns lose the race

a) · 4 points
The paper appeals to Hsieh–Klenow and Restuccia–Rogerson: efficiency requires equalising marginal returns across uses, and here the return in sector ii is the constant Ri=Ci/IR_i=C_i/I with R1>R2R_1>R_2. Say what the efficient allocation of a given pool of loanable funds looks like, and explain why the competitive bank allocation need not deliver it, even before any crowding out.
Hint 1
With constant, unequal returns, equalisation is impossible; think about a corner.
Hint 2
What does a bank observe and contract on: CiC_i or PiP_i?

Not yet answered.

b) Surplus as scaled average return

b) · 4 points
Show that W=C1F1+C2F2−2K−QW=C_1F_1+C_2F_2-2K-Q, that Rˉ=ωR1+(1−ω)R2\bar R=\omega R_1+(1-\omega)R_2 with ω=F1/(F1+F2)\omega=F_1/(F_1+F_2), and hence that W=(Rˉ−1)(Q+2K)W=(\bar R-1)(Q+2K). Then derive the first-order condition of Program 2 in terms of Rˉ(Q)\bar R(Q) (the appendix’s (A10)).
Hint
Sum the two credit-clearing conditions.

Not yet answered.

c) The welfare trade-off at the margin

c) · 4 points
Starting from W=(C1−I)F1+(C2−I)F2W=(C_1-I)F_1+(C_2-I)F_2, derive dW/dQdW/dQ in terms of dQ1/dQdQ_1/dQ. Give the exact local condition for an extra unit of injection to lower WW, and relate it to the two-force decomposition the paper gives after Proposition 10.
Hint
Use IFi=K+QiIF_i=K+Q_i for each sector before differentiating, and dF1+dF2=dQ/IdF_1+dF_2=dQ/I.

Not yet answered.

d) Program 2 versus Program 1

d) · 4 points
Let QWQ_W denote the maximiser of WW over the range of QQ on which neither sector is fully funded. Using 5c and the local derivatives of 4b, show that QW≥Q∗Q_W\ge Q^*, characterise when QW>Q∗Q_W>Q^* strictly and when QW=Q∗Q_W=Q^* is possible, and use this to explain the appendix’s ‘coincidence’ that both programs give Q=1.1787Q=1.1787 in the Proposition 8 example.
Hint
What is dQ1/dQdQ_1/dQ at Q∗Q^* if r2r_2 is differentiable at its minimum? What if r2r_2 has a kink there?

Not yet answered.

e) Capping speculative leverage

e) · 3 points
The conclusion suggests regulating leverage in the more speculative industry. In the model, suppose a regulator caps the margin a Sector 2 buyer can raise per asset, effectively lowering X2X_2 to at most Sector 2’s trap cutoff X‾\underline X while C2C_2 is unchanged. What happens to r2(Q2)r_2(Q_2), to the relation between Q1Q_1 and QQ, and to the optimal injection? Is there any surplus cost within the model?
Hint
Proposition 3 and 3a apply to Sector 2 once X2≤X‾X_2\le\underline X.

Not yet answered.

6. Carrying the numerical example

Appendix A’s example (Propositions 3–7): I=1I=1, C=2.2C=2.2 in both sectors, π=0.4\pi=0.4, EH(x~)=1.3668\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x)=1.3668, EL(x~)=1.0334\mathbb{E}^L(\tilde x)=1.0334, f(B)=log⁡11−Bf(B)=\log\frac{1}{1-B} on [0,1)[0,1), X1=0.05X_1=0.05, X2=0.35X_2=0.35, Q‾=1.5\overline Q=1.5. The appendix reports X‾=0.0501\underline X=0.0501, rmin⁡=0.3270r_{\min}=0.3270 for Sector 2, and Q∗=0.6113Q^*=0.6113 with Q1=0.1950Q_1=0.1950, Q2=0.4163Q_2=0.4163. A calculator (or a few lines of code) is allowed.

a) Distribution and inflow bounds

a) · 2 points
Derive the cdf F(B)F(B), the quantity K=∫01(1−B)f(B) dBK=\int_0^1(1-B)f(B)\,dB, and the range of net inflows QiQ_i a sector can absorb or release. Write the credit-clearing condition that pins Bi∗B_i^* for a given QiQ_i.
Hint
Substitute u=1−Bu=1-B, then integrate by parts.

Not yet answered.

b) Reproducing the trap cutoff

b) · 3 points
Using Γ(Q)=πCF(B∗)+X(1−π)+πQ/B∗\Gamma(Q)=\dfrac{\pi C F(B^*)+X}{(1-\pi)+\pi Q/B^*}, reproduce the appendix’s cutoff X‾=0.0501\underline X=0.0501 and Sector 2’s maximum price P2=1.3667P_2=1.3667. What does the second number tell you about how EH(x~)\mathbb{E}^H(\tilde x) was chosen?
Hint
Evaluate at the per-sector maximum inflow, where B∗=1B^*=1.

Not yet answered.

c) Checking the reported optimum

c) · 5 points
(i) Compute B1∗B_1^* and the common rate at Q1=0.1950Q_1=0.1950 and confirm that it equals rmin⁡r_{\min}. (ii) Compute B2∗B_2^*, Γ2\Gamma_2 and r2r_2 at Q2=0.4163Q_2=0.4163. (iii) Evaluate f(B2∗)[C/(1+r)−I]f(B_2^*)[C/(1+r)-I] there, compare it with (1−π)/π(1-\pi)/\pi, and explain why the comparison confirms that Q2=0.4163Q_2=0.4163 is (approximately) where r2r_2 bottoms out.
Hint
Solve B+(1−B)ln⁡(1−B)=0.445B+(1-B)\ln(1-B)=0.445 by bisection; the root is between 0.75 and 0.80.

Not yet answered.

d) When Sector 2 is saturated

d) · 5 points
Sector 2 cannot absorb more than Q2=0.75Q_2=0.75. (i) Find the aggregate injection QsatQ_{\text{sat}} at which Sector 2 becomes fully funded in this example. (ii) Describe the equilibrium for Q>QsatQ>Q_{\text{sat}}: which condition in (5a)–(5e) must be relaxed, and how do Q1Q_1 and rr move? (iii) What does this imply for Proposition 6’s claim that Q∗=0.6113Q^*=0.6113 uniquely maximises Q1Q_1 on [0,Q‾][0,\overline Q] with Q‾=1.5\overline Q=1.5?
Hint
At Q2=0.75Q_2=0.75, r2=P2/1−1r_2=P_2/1-1. Which Q1Q_1 gives Sector 1 the same rate?

Not yet answered.

References

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